702 samples now. Won another 50g prizes. Maybe the tide is turning?
(Don't be fooled... a human being is really good at "seeing" patterns in complete randomness)
Must... flip... more... cards...
Cumulative stats summary:
| Prize (gold) | Count | Percentage | Bootstrap Error (1-sigma) |
| 0.1 | 379 | 53.99% | 1.88% |
| 0.5 | 141 | 20.09% | 1.52% |
| 1 | 94 | 13.39% | 1.28% |
| 5 | 70 | 9.97% | 1.13% |
| 20 | 16 | 2.28% | 0.56% |
| 50 | 2 | 0.28% | 0.20% |
| 200 | 0 | 0.00% | NA |
| 1000 | 0 | 0.00% | NA |
| 5000 | 0 | 0.00% | NA |
Pay attention to how the error estimates shrink over time. More samples = less uncertainty!
Here's a plot of the distribution:
Total Samples: 702
Current total prize money won: 972.4 g
Current estimated fair price: 1 g 38 s 52 c
I'lll be placing the raw data on its own page from now on. I didn't really want to make the main post page too long and heavy.
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