Sunday, January 16, 2011

Quick Update



1502 samples now.

I'm somewhat surprised by the fact that I haven't flipped a single 5000 gold prize yet. But, life goes on. What I am not surprised about is the fact that the cards are still selling way above their estimated fair value. Gambling is in our blood.

On a totally different note... GO BEARS! WOOT!

Cumulative stats summary:

Total Samples: 1502
Current total prize money won: 4019.6 g
Current estimated fair price: 2 g 67 s 62 c


Prize (gold) CountPercentageBootstrap Error (1-sigma)
0.1 79653.00%1.33%
0.5 29419.57%1.05%
1 22815.18%0.96%
5 1459.65%0.79%
20 271.80%0.35%
50 60.40%0.14%
200 50.33%0.16%
1000 10.07%0.07%
5000 00.00%NA


Here's a plot of the distribution:




Raw data page is updated.

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